Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.007904 0.009238 0.010827 0.012887 0.015529 0.018867 0.023508
2025-10-05 0.006538 0.008264 0.010568 0.013982 0.019127 0.026999 0.040916
2025-10-12 0.005630 0.007478 0.010135 0.014454 0.021792 0.034910 0.063794
2025-10-19 0.004869 0.006690 0.009447 0.014240 0.023161 0.041284 0.090050
2025-10-26 0.004378 0.006190 0.009060 0.014357 0.025099 0.049872 0.133084
2025-11-02 0.003931 0.005681 0.008550 0.014101 0.026175 0.057271 0.186805
2025-11-09 0.003484 0.005108 0.007833 0.013279 0.025725 0.060502 0.233130
2025-11-16 0.003140 0.004663 0.007273 0.012645 0.025500 0.064382 0.296904
2025-11-23 0.002957 0.004466 0.007123 0.012814 0.027330 0.076580 0.476058
2025-11-30 0.002747 0.004199 0.006808 0.012563 0.027968 0.085252 0.700743
2025-12-07 0.002538 0.003916 0.006428 0.012093 0.027838 0.090881 0.968501
2025-12-14 0.002388 0.003722 0.006197 0.011924 0.028569 0.101604 1.577437
2025-12-21 0.002296 0.003640 0.006204 0.012399 0.031832 0.132635 5.225906
2025-12-28 0.002258 0.003655 0.006412 0.013451 0.037888 0.199918 162.207227
2026-01-04 0.002171 0.003566 0.006390 0.013899 0.042099 0.273402 NaN
2026-01-11 0.002045 0.003390 0.006154 0.013695 0.043495 0.327635 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001954 0.003273 0.006036 0.013807 0.046512 0.428432 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001849 0.003120 0.005816 0.013564 0.047687 0.515043 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001721 0.002910 0.005446 0.012785 0.045619 0.522338 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001613 0.002738 0.005146 0.012183 0.044298 0.547556 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001560 0.002670 0.005087 0.012343 0.047501 0.752546 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001488 0.002561 0.004917 0.012105 0.048209 0.901101 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001410 0.002434 0.004696 0.011658 0.047373 0.981591 NaN